石菊博士是北京大学经济学院长聘副教授，北京大学全球健康研究院双聘副教授。她的专业是健康经济学，长期致力于我国医疗卫生体制改革研究。她的研究关注医疗保险制度的制定与评估，包括医保支付制度的设计与政策评估、医疗保险报销制度的设计与对患者行为的影响，以及药品政策对医疗系统的影响。
石菊博士本科毕业于清华大学，博士毕业于美国波士顿大学。加入北京大学之前，曾在美国哈佛大学担任博士后研究员。她的多篇研究论文发表于国际国内顶级期刊，并承担了多项国家级和省部级课题研究。她同时担任北京外国经济学说研究会副秘书长、北京市食品安全地方标准审评委员会顾问。
教育背景
美国波士顿大学 经济学博士 2013
清华大学 经济学硕士 2008
清华大学 经济学学士 2006
工作经历
长聘副教授 北京大学经济学院经济系 2020.9至今
预聘副教授 北京大学经济学院经济系 2017.9 - 2020.8
助理教授 北京大学经济学院经济系 2014.9 - 2017.8
博士后 哈佛医学院卫生政策系 2013.6-2014.5
社会服务
北京大学经济学院经济系党支部书记，2019.7至今
北京外国经济学说研究会，副秘书长，2018.12 - 2022.12
讲授课程
本科生课程：卫生经济学
研究生课程：高级计量经济学
发表论文
"Cover More for Less: Targeted Drug Coverage, Chronic Disease Management, and Medical Spending", Julie Shi, Wanyu Yang, Ye Yuan. Journal of Development Economics, 2025, 172(1)
"The Impacts of China's Drug Price Zero-Markup Policy on Medical Expenditure and Health Outcomes", Julie Shi, Lirong Liang, Manqi Hou. China Economic Review, 2023, 79: 1-21
"The Impact of Health Insurance on Job Location Choice: Evidence from Rural China", Wang Yijie, Julie Shi, Yi Yao, Wenkai Sun. Journal of Comparative Economics, 2022, 50(2): 569-58
"Does Ownership Matter for Medical System Performance? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Suqian, China", Liu, Gordon, Julie Shi, Xiaoqian Wang, Hanmo Yang, Hengpeng Zhu. Inquiry: The Journal of Health Care Organization, Provision, and Financing, 2020, 57: 1-10
"Trends in Hospitalization Expenditures for Acute Exacerbations of COPD in Beijing from 2009 to 2017", Liang, Lirong, Yunxiao Shang, Wuxiang Xie, Julie Shi, Zhaohui Tong, Mahammad Jalali. International Journal of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, 2020, 15: 1165-1175
"Expenditure Response to Health Insurance Policies: Evidence from Kinks in Rural China", Yi Lu, Julie Shi, Wanyu Yang, Journal of Public Economics, 2019, 178(10): 1-17
"Income-dependent Impacts of Health Insurance on Medical Expenditures: Theory and Evidence from China," Yi Chen, Julie Shi, Castiel Chen Zhuang, China Economic Review, 2019, 53: 290-310
"Potential Effects of Eliminating the Individual Mandate Penalty in California: Uneven Coverage Losses and Premium Increases," Vicki Fung, Catherine Liang, Julie Shi, Veri Seo, Lindsay Overhage, William Dow, Alan Zaslavsky, Bruce Fireman, Stephen F. Derose, Michael Chernew, Joseph P. Newhouse, John Hsu, Health Affairs, 2019, 38: 147-154
"Promoting Sustainability for Micro Health Insurance: A Risk-adjusted Subsidy Approach for Maternal Healthcare Service," Yi Yao, Joan Schmit, and Julie Shi, Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 2019, 44(3): 382-409
"Modeling Individual Health Care Expenditures in China: Evidence to Assist Payment Reform in Public Insurance," Julie Shi, Yi Yao, and Gordon Liu, Health Economics, 2018, 27(12): 1945-1962
"Health Insurance and Payment System Reform in China," Julie Shi and Gordon Liu, in "Risk Adjustment, Risk Sharing and Premium Regulation in Health Insurance Markets: Theory and Practice", edited by Thomas McGuire and Richard van Kleef, 263-278. Elsevier, 2018
"Adverse Selection into and within the Individual Health Insurance Market in California in 2014," Vicki Fung, Cassandra G. K. Peitzman, Julie Shi, Catherine Y. Liang, William H. Dow, Alan M. Zaslavsky, Bruce H. Fireman, Stephen F. Derose, Michael E. Chernew, Joseph P. Newhouse, and John Hsu, Health Services Research, 2018, 53(5): 3750-3769
"Risk Adjustment of Health Plan Payments to Correct Inefficient Plan Choice from Adverse Selection," Thomas G. McGuire, Jacob Glazer and Julie Shi, in "Measuring and Modeling Health Care Costs", edited by Ana Aizcorbe, Colin Baker, Ernst Berndt and David Cutler, 379-418. Chicago: University of Chicago Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research, 2018
"Efficiency in Plan Choice with Risk Adjustment and Risk-based Pricing in Health Insurance Exchanges," Julie Shi, Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 2017, 42(1): 79-113
"Matching and Imputation Methods for Risk Adjustment in Health Insurance Exchanges," Sherri Rose, Julie Shi, Thomas G. McGuire, Sharon-Lise T. Normand, Statistics in Biosciences, 2017, 9(2): 525-542
"Income Manipulation to Subsidized Health Insurance Programs: Evidence from Massachusetts," Julie Shi, American Journal of Health Economics, 2016, 2(1): 96-124
"Assessing Incentives for Service-Level Selection in Private Health Insurance Exchanges," Thomas G. McGuire, Joseph P. Newhouse, Sharon-Lise Normand, Julie Shi and Samuel Zuvekas, Journal of Health Economics, 2014, 35, May: 47-63
"Integrating Risk Adjustment and Enrollee Premiums in Health Plan Payment," Thomas G. McGuire, Jacob Glazer, Joseph P. Newhouse, Sharon-Lise Normand, Julie Shi, Anna D. Sinaiko, and Samuel Zuvekas, Journal of Health Economics, 2013, 32(6): 1263–1277
"微观医疗费用预测模型：从线性回归到机器学习"，石菊、王小倩、王熙，《经济学（季刊）》，2023，23（6）：2247-2263
“我国戒烟服务体系建设现状及对策建议”，褚水莲、汪姝君、石菊、冯琳、崔小波、童朝晖、梁立荣，《预防医学》，2022，34（12）：1235-1239
“肾病患者医疗花费趋势研究——基于北京市某三甲医院的分析”，毕书红、李紫繁、汪涛、王悦、张晨、计虹、石菊，《北京大学学报（医学版）》，2021，53(01)：215-219
“居民医疗机构选择的影响因素分析”，周钧、石菊、王小倩，《统计与决策》，2019年第19期
“城镇居民医疗保险对失业的影响研究”，刘国恩、韩清扬、石菊，《中国卫生经济》，2018年第4期
“医疗保险政策国际比较”，刘国恩、葛楠、石菊，《中国药物经济学》，2017年第7期
“退休对我国居民健康的影响”，刘国恩、李星宇、石菊，《卫生经济研究》， 2017年第7期
“医疗保险支付方式改革：中国实践与国内外研究进展评述”，姚奕、陈仪、石菊，《中国卫生经济》，2017年第4期
研究项目
“医药价格动态监测机制研究”，南宁市医保局委托项目，课题主持人，2023-2024
“医疗机构风险评估”，北京市卫健委委托项目，课题主持人，2020-2022
“居民医疗费用预测与医疗保险支付体系改革”，国家自然科学基金青年项目（71503014），课题主持人，2016-2018
荣誉奖励
北京大学本科毕业论文优秀指导教师，2023
北京大学优秀班主任，2022
北京大学优秀共产党员，2021
第四届中国健康经济发展论坛优秀论文一等奖，2021
北京大学暑期社会实践优秀指导教师，2021
北京大学经济学院优秀共产党员，2020
北京市第十一届青年教师基本功比赛三等奖, 2019
北京大学第五届曹凤岐金融发展基金“金融青年科研优秀奖“，2016
北京大学第十四届青年教师教学基本功比赛二等奖，2014
The US National Institute for Health Care Management Paper of the Year, 2014
